ABNT20 KNHC 180523
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

East of the Windward Islands and the Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic, about 
900 miles east of the Windward Islands, continues to produce a large 
area of showers and thunderstorms.  Gradual development of this 
system is possible during the next several days while it moves 
generally westward at around 20 mph.  Regardless of development, 
this system is expected to bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to 
the Windward Islands late this weekend, then move across the 
Caribbean Sea through much of next week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

North Atlantic: 
A non-tropical area of low pressure is located well off the coast of 
the Northeast United States. There is a slight chance that the 
system could develop some subtropical characteristics this weekend 
before it turns northeastward over cooler waters by early next 
week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema
Storm Tracker 6Cyclocane (Hurricane Spaghetti Models)